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Live signals

One call per coin and window: Buy when the crowd prices the window to close up, Sell when it prices it to close down, Hold when it is close to even. Switch between the blend of all venues and each venue on its own.

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Buy
Solid: strong direction (score 60 or more)
Sell
Tinted: weak direction (score 20 to 59)
Hold
Hold: the market is close to 50/50
Buy
Clock: late in its window, mostly hindsight

The three bars inside a badge are confidence (low, medium, high). Under each badge: the score from -100 to +100, then the number of venues whose quote qualifies (quality 0.2 or more). A tilde marks a quote carried over from an earlier update. Coins are whatever the venues currently list.

How to read the board

Each badge is the current window for that coin and timeframe. The crowd’s implied probability that the window closes up is rescaled to a score from -100 to +100. A score of +20 or more shows as Buy, -20 or less as Sell, and everything in between as Hold. Solid badges are strong readings (past ±60), tinted badges are weaker ones.

The three bars inside a badge are confidence: how deep the markets behind the reading are, how much the venues agree, and whether the window is still young. High is 70 and above, medium from 40. A clock means less than 20% of the window remains; at that point the market mostly reflects a move that has already happened.

The Combined tab blends every venue that quotes the very same window, weighted by market quality. The venue tabs show what Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless each imply on their own; a dash means that venue has no market for that window. The Overall column is the confidence-weighted average across timeframes.

The full method, including every threshold, is on the methodology page. The same numbers are available as JSON through the free API. None of this is financial advice.