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polysignals.net

Which way is crypto leaning right now?

Buy and sell readings for every coin the venues list, blended from prediction markets and options. Updated every 30 seconds.

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Each icon is a coin. Its position is the blended score for that window, from -100 (Sell) on the left to +100 (Buy) on the right. The full board lists every reading.

Signals on Cryptohopper

The daily trend, sent to Cryptohopper

Once a day at 00:05 UTC each coin gets a trend call on the Coinbase close: long or flat. When a call changes, it goes to Cryptohopper as a buy or a sell, to every matching market on Cryptohopper’s exchanges.

Long
The close is more than one daily sigma above the 50-day average.
Flat
The close is more than one sigma below it.
In between
The call stays as it was, so small moves do not flip it.
Long
…
Flat
…
Next decision (UTC)
…

Latest change

Loading the calls…

From market price to signal

  1. 1

    Read the Up or Down markets

    Every 5 min, 15 min, 1 hour, 4 hours, 1 day window has a market asking whether the coin closes higher. The Up share’s price is the crowd’s probability that it will.

  2. 2

    Blend the venues that quote the same window

    Readings are weighted by market quality: tight spreads and real volume count more, thin or stale quotes count less. The result is one score from -100 to +100.

  3. 3

    Attach a confidence score

    Depth, agreement between venues and time left in the window combine into a 0 to 100 confidence. High is 70 and above; the API shows every part.

Every threshold is public. Read the full methodology

How a price becomes a call

The Up share trades between $0 and $1, so its price is the crowd’s probability that the window closes up. The score rescales it to -100 to +100: (price - 0.5) × 200.

Up share priceScoreCall
20%-60Strong down
50%0Neutral
70%+40Up
80%+60Strong up

The markets behind the numbers

Four prediction markets and four options exchanges, each read on its own before it is blended. PolySignals.net is independent of all of them.

Prediction markets4

Price a yes or no question directly: will the coin close the window up?

  • Polymarket

    The largest crypto-native prediction market, settled on Polygon with an order book for every market.

    Up or Down markets on every coin and timeframe. Quotes come from the order book; markets resolve on a Chainlink price feed.

  • Kalshi

    A US exchange for event contracts, regulated by the CFTC, with dollar-settled crypto price markets.

    15-minute Up or Down markets on all coins, plus hourly and daily (5 pm US Eastern) above-or-below strike ladders that PolySignals.net turns into hourly and 1-day readings (marked derived).

  • Limitless

    An on-chain prediction market on Base with short-dated crypto price markets.

    Up or Down markets: 5- and 15-minute for BTC and ETH, hourly and daily for six coins. Volumes are small, so confidence is usually low.

  • Gemini

    The prediction market of the Gemini exchange, a US-regulated venue with dollar-settled crypto price markets.

    5- and 15-minute Up or Down markets on BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP, plus hourly above-or-below ladders that PolySignals.net turns into an hourly reading (marked derived). Quotes are tight but little trades, so confidence is usually low.

Options exchanges4

Not prediction markets: daily readings implied by call prices, labelled as such and never blended with a prediction market.

  • Binance options

    The options exchange of the largest crypto exchange, with daily-expiring calls and puts.

    The prices of the calls around the window’s opening price at the nearest daily expiry (08:00 UTC), turned into the implied chance that the coin closes above where the day opened. BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL and DOGE; 1-day window only, marked derived.

  • Deribit options

    The largest crypto options exchange, with daily expiries on its coin-settled and USDC-settled books.

    Same derivation as Binance options: BTC and ETH from Deribit’s coin-settled calls (converted to dollars at the expiry’s forward price), SOL, XRP, HYPE, AVAX and TRX from its USDC-settled ones; 1-day window only, marked derived.

  • Bybit options

    The options market of the Bybit exchange, with USDT-settled daily expiries.

    Same derivation as Binance options, from Bybit’s calls at the nearest daily expiry (08:00 UTC): BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE and MNT; 1-day window only, marked derived.

  • OKX options

    The options market of the OKX exchange, with daily expiries on BTC, ETH and SOL.

    Same derivation as Binance options: BTC and ETH from OKX’s coin-settled calls (converted to dollars at the spot price), SOL from its USD-settled ones; 1-day window only, marked derived.

Every coin the venues list, five windows

Coins are discovered from what the venues quote right now, not a fixed list. The number is how many venues price that window; every cell with at least one venue gets a signal, and more venues mean higher confidence.

Coin5 min15 min1 hour4 hours1 day

Built and run by Cryptohopper

Cryptohopper is an automated crypto trading platform. PolySignals.net started as an internal feed for reading prediction markets and is published here, with its API, for anyone to use.

cryptohopper.com

Questions people ask

The rules behind every number are on the methodology page.

What is a PolySignals.net reading?

Prediction markets run rolling Up or Down markets: will a coin’s price be higher at the end of the next 5 minutes, 15 minutes, hour, 4 hours or day? The price of the Up share is the crowd’s implied probability that it will. PolySignals.net reads those prices about twice a minute, rescales them to a score from -100 to +100 and shows the result as Buy, Sell or Hold. Options exchanges add a daily reading: the prices of calls imply the chance that the coin closes the day above where it opened.

What do Buy and Sell mean here?

Buy means the market prices the current window to close up (score +20 or more); Sell means it prices the window to close down (-20 or less); Hold means it is close to even. A solid badge is a strong reading past ±60. They describe what traders are paying for right now, not what will happen.

Is this financial advice?

No. PolySignals.net is information drawn from prediction-market and options prices, often from thin markets over very short horizons. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything, and it is not a forecast. Make your own decisions and never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

How often do the signals update?

The collector reads every venue every 30 seconds and the site refreshes every 15 seconds while the tab is open. If the feed falls more than three updates behind, the page shows a data-delayed badge.

Which venues and coins are covered?

Prediction markets Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless and Gemini across 5-minute, 15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour and 1-day windows, plus options-implied daily readings from Binance, Deribit, Bybit and OKX options (labelled as such, never mixed with prediction-market windows). Coins are not a fixed list: the collector discovers whatever each venue lists, from Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana to newer listings, and the coverage table shows which venue quotes which window right now. Beyond those, 127 coins in all get the daily trend call relayed to Cryptohopper, most of them listed by no venue; the All coins page lists every one.

What is the confidence score?

A 0 to 100 number made of three parts: depth (how much volume and how tight a spread sit behind the reading), agreement (how closely the venues agree) and timing (whether the window is still young). High is 70 and above, medium from 40. The API returns each part separately.

Is the API free?

Yes. Every number on the site comes from a few JSON files served over HTTPS with open CORS, no key and no sign-up. It is a best-effort feed without an uptime guarantee, so cache on your side and poll no faster than the data changes.

Who runs PolySignals.net?

PolySignals.net is built and run by Cryptohopper, the automated crypto trading platform. It is not affiliated with Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Gemini, Binance, Deribit, Bybit and OKX or any other venue.