# Solana (SOL) on PolySignals.net

As of 2026-10-28T20:31:06Z. Spot $101.84.

The window readings mostly restate how far the coin has moved since the window opened, scaled by the time left: a readout of the crowd's price, not a forecast. The daily regime call is a trend rule, not a proven edge. Not financial advice.

## Overall call

Hold, score -11, confidence 26. The confidence-weighted blend of the 1 hour, 4 hour and 1 day readings.

## Windows running now (all venues blended)

| Window | Call | Score (-100..+100) | Up probability | Confidence | Sources | Time left | Move since open |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 min | Buy (weak) | +58 | 79.0% | 16 low | Polymarket | 78% | 0.00% |
| 15 min | Buy (weak) | +28 | 63.9% | 53 medium | Polymarket, Kalshi | 93% | 0.00% |
| 1 hour | Sell (strong) | -92 | 4.0% | 8 low | Polymarket | 48% | -1.00% |
| 4 hours | Sell (strong) | -64 | 18.0% | 18 low | Polymarket | 87% | -1.29% |
| 1 day | Buy (weak) | +34 | 67.0% | 35 low | Polymarket | 81% | +0.95% |

## Next windows

| Window | Call | Score | Up probability | Confidence | Sources | Time left | Move since open |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 min | Hold | +2 | 51.0% | 19 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a |
| 15 min | Hold | 0 | 50.0% | 12 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a |
| 1 hour | Hold | -2 | 49.0% | 7 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a |
| 4 hours | Hold | 0 | 50.0% | 8 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a |
| 1 day | Hold | 0 | 50.0% | 11 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a |

## Each venue on its own (windows running now)

| Window | Venue | Call | Score | Up probability | Volume | Notes |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 min | Polymarket | Buy (weak) | +58 | 79.0% | $0 |  |
| 5 min | Gemini | no quote | n/a | n/a | $0 |  |
| 15 min | Polymarket | Buy (weak) | +32 | 66.0% | $15.00 |  |
| 15 min | Kalshi | Buy (weak) | +26 | 63.0% | $3,345 |  |
| 15 min | Gemini | no quote | n/a | n/a | $0 |  |
| 1 hour | Polymarket | Sell (strong) | -92 | 4.0% | $253.00 |  |
| 1 hour | Kalshi | Sell (weak) | -58 | 21.1% | $4,063 | derived from a strike ladder |
| 1 hour | Limitless | Sell (strong) | -92 | 4.0% | $0 |  |
| 4 hours | Polymarket | Sell (strong) | -64 | 18.0% | $52.00 |  |
| 1 day | Polymarket | Buy (weak) | +34 | 67.0% | $765.00 |  |
| 1 day | Kalshi | Buy (strong) | +94 | 97.1% | $2,905 | derived from a strike ladder |
| 1 day | Limitless | Buy (weak) | +30 | 65.0% | $0 |  |
| 1 day | Binance options | Hold | -12 | 43.9% | $496.00 | implied from options prices |
| 1 day | Deribit options | Hold | -19 | 40.6% | $2,454 | implied from options prices |
| 1 day | Bybit options | Hold | -15 | 42.5% | $2,258,992 | implied from options prices |
| 1 day | OKX options | Sell (weak) | -24 | 38.2% | $0 | implied from options prices |

## Daily regime call

**Flat** for 16 days. Close $101.19 on 2026-10-27, 3.65 daily sigmas below the 50-day average ($109.42). It goes long on a close above $111.68. Next decision 2026-10-29T00:05:00Z. The four-hour paper variant (never relayed) is flat as of 2026-10-14T12:00:00Z.

## Following on Cryptohopper

Each change of the daily regime call is sent by the PolySignals.net signaler on Cryptohopper (https://www.cryptohopper.com/signaller?signaller_id=753): a buy signal when it turns long, a sell when it turns flat. A hopper subscribed to the signaler acts on it where its exchange and quote currency match one of these markets.

54 markets on 11 exchanges get SOL's signals:

- Binance: `SOLUSD`, `SOLUSDT`, `SOLUSDC`, `SOLFDUSD`, `SOLUSD1`, `SOLEUR`, `SOLJPY`, `SOLTRY`, `SOLBRL`, `SOLMXN`, `SOLIDR`, `SOLTHB`
- Coinbase Advanced: `SOL-USD`, `SOL-USDT`, `SOL-USDC`, `SOL-EUR`, `SOL-GBP`, `SOL-INR`
- Kraken: `SOL/USD`, `SOL/USDT`, `SOL/USDC`, `SOL/SOFID`, `SOL/EUR`, `SOL/EURC`, `SOL/GBP`, `SOL/AUD`, `SOL/CAD`
- Bybit: `SOL/USDT`, `SOL/USDC`, `SOL/USDE`, `SOL/EUR`, `SOL/AED`
- OKX: `SOL/USDT`, `SOL/USDC`, `SOL/EUR`, `SOL/AUD`, `SOL/TRY`, `SOL/BRL`, `SOL/AED`
- KuCoin: `SOL/USDT`, `SOL/USDC`, `SOL/USD1`
- Crypto.com: `SOL/USD`, `SOL/USDT`, `SOL/PYUSD`, `SOL/EUR`
- Binance.us: `SOLUSD`, `SOLUSDT`, `SOLUSDC`
- Bitvavo: `SOL/USDC`, `SOL/EUR`
- HTX: `SOL/USDT`
- BingX: `SOL/USDT`, `SOL/USDC`

## Live backtest (Coinbase SOL-USD, 0.6% a fill, since 2026-10-13T02:32:43Z)

| Strategy | Net return | Gross (no fees) | Buy & hold | Round trips | Win rate | Max drawdown | Holding now |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 min | -4.72% | -4.14% | -4.59% | 0 | n/a | 9.5% | coin since 2026-10-13T02:38:36Z |
| 15 min | -99.98% | -18.78% | -4.59% | 688 | 1% | 100.0% | USD |
| 1 hour | -7.12% | +0.44% | -4.59% | 6 | 33% | 13.7% | coin since 2026-10-20T22:13:36Z |
| 4 hours | -6.18% | -5.61% | -4.59% | 0 | n/a | 9.5% | coin since 2026-10-13T07:07:36Z |
| 1 day | -14.00% | -4.74% | -4.59% | 8 | 13% | 15.3% | coin since 2026-10-27T16:01:36Z |
| Overall | -30.42% | -7.68% | -4.59% | 23 | 0% | 31.9% | coin since 2026-10-27T12:38:36Z |
| Daily regime | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.59% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD |
| 4-hour regime (paper) | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.59% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD |

## In the news

The newest CoinArticle headlines that name SOL, read 2026-10-28T20:31:24.335Z:

- 2026-10-28 01:06 UTC: [Solflare Validator Halts Rewards After Staking Provider Security Incident](https://www.coinarticle.com/article/solflare-validator-halts-rewards-security-incident)

## Links

- Page: https://polysignals.net/sol/
- JSON: https://polysignals.net/api/v1/signals.json (coins.SOL), history https://polysignals.net/api/v1/history/SOL.json
- Method: https://polysignals.net/methodology/
