# Ethereum (ETH) on PolySignals.net As of 2026-10-28T20:31:06Z. Spot $2,350. The window readings mostly restate how far the coin has moved since the window opened, scaled by the time left: a readout of the crowd's price, not a forecast. The daily regime call is a trend rule, not a proven edge. Not financial advice. ## Overall call Sell (weak), score -20, confidence 41. The confidence-weighted blend of the 1 hour, 4 hour and 1 day readings. ## Windows running now (all venues blended) | Window | Call | Score (-100..+100) | Up probability | Confidence | Sources | Time left | Move since open | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 min | Buy (weak) | +44 | 72.0% | 15 low | Polymarket | 78% | 0.00% | | 15 min | Hold | +8 | 54.1% | 38 low | Polymarket, Kalshi | 93% | 0.00% | | 1 hour | Sell (strong) | -94 | 3.0% | 26 low | Polymarket | 48% | -0.79% | | 4 hours | Sell (weak) | -56 | 22.0% | 24 low | Polymarket | 87% | -1.14% | | 1 day | Buy (weak) | +30 | 65.0% | 56 medium | Polymarket, Limitless | 81% | +0.75% | ## Next windows | Window | Call | Score | Up probability | Confidence | Sources | Time left | Move since open | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 min | Hold | +2 | 51.0% | 19 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a | | 15 min | Hold | +2 | 51.0% | 16 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a | | 1 hour | Hold | +2 | 51.0% | 18 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a | | 4 hours | Hold | 0 | 50.0% | 8 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a | | 1 day | Hold | 0 | 50.0% | 11 low | Polymarket | 100% | n/a | ## Each venue on its own (windows running now) | Window | Venue | Call | Score | Up probability | Volume | Notes | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 min | Polymarket | Buy (weak) | +44 | 72.0% | $0 | | | 5 min | Limitless | Hold | -6 | 47.0% | $0 | | | 5 min | Gemini | no quote | n/a | n/a | $0 | | | 15 min | Polymarket | Buy (weak) | +24 | 62.0% | $59.00 | | | 15 min | Kalshi | Hold | +2 | 51.0% | $9,660 | | | 15 min | Limitless | Hold | -8 | 46.0% | $0 | | | 15 min | Gemini | Hold | +8 | 54.0% | $0 | | | 1 hour | Polymarket | Sell (strong) | -94 | 3.0% | $1,682 | | | 1 hour | Kalshi | Sell (weak) | -43 | 28.5% | $63,304 | derived from a strike ladder | | 1 hour | Limitless | Sell (strong) | -94 | 3.0% | $0 | | | 4 hours | Polymarket | Sell (weak) | -56 | 22.0% | $409.00 | | | 1 day | Polymarket | Buy (weak) | +30 | 65.0% | $5,025 | | | 1 day | Kalshi | Buy (strong) | +75 | 87.4% | $63,304 | derived from a strike ladder | | 1 day | Limitless | Buy (weak) | +26 | 63.0% | $1.00 | | | 1 day | Binance options | Hold | -11 | 44.6% | $159,843 | implied from options prices | | 1 day | Deribit options | Hold | -10 | 44.9% | $41,160 | implied from options prices | | 1 day | Bybit options | Hold | -5 | 47.4% | $29,278,272 | implied from options prices | | 1 day | OKX options | Hold | -11 | 44.7% | $8,649,523 | implied from options prices | ## Daily regime call **Flat** for 20 days. Close $2,347 on 2026-10-27, 4.08 daily sigmas below the 50-day average ($2,536). It goes long on a close above $2,583. Next decision 2026-10-29T00:05:00Z. The four-hour paper variant (never relayed) is flat as of 2026-10-14T12:00:00Z. ## Following on Cryptohopper Each change of the daily regime call is sent by the PolySignals.net signaler on Cryptohopper (https://www.cryptohopper.com/signaller?signaller_id=753): a buy signal when it turns long, a sell when it turns flat. A hopper subscribed to the signaler acts on it where its exchange and quote currency match one of these markets. 66 markets on 11 exchanges get ETH's signals: - Binance: `ETHUSD`, `ETHUSDT`, `ETHUSDC`, `ETHFDUSD`, `ETHUSD1`, `ETHUSDS`, `ETHEUR`, `ETHJPY`, `ETHTRY`, `ETHBRL`, `ETHMXN`, `ETHIDR`, `ETHARS`, `ETHTHB` - Coinbase Advanced: `ETH-USD`, `ETH-USDT`, `ETH-USDC`, `ETH-EUR`, `ETH-GBP`, `ETH-INR` - Kraken: `ETH/USD`, `ETH/USDT`, `ETH/USDC`, `ETH/DAI`, `ETH/SOFID`, `ETH/EUR`, `ETH/EURC`, `ETH/GBP`, `ETH/AUD`, `ETH/CAD`, `ETH/JPY`, `ETH/CHF` - Bybit: `ETH/USDT`, `ETH/USDC`, `ETH/USD1`, `ETH/USDE`, `ETH/RLUSD`, `ETH/EUR`, `ETH/BRL`, `ETH/AED` - OKX: `ETH/USDT`, `ETH/USDC`, `ETH/EUR`, `ETH/AUD`, `ETH/TRY`, `ETH/BRL`, `ETH/PLN`, `ETH/AED` - KuCoin: `ETH/USDT`, `ETH/USDC`, `ETH/USD1`, `ETH/USDG`, `ETH/EUR` - Crypto.com: `ETH/USD`, `ETH/USDT`, `ETH/PYUSD`, `ETH/EUR` - Binance.us: `ETHUSD`, `ETHUSDT`, `ETHUSDC` - Bitvavo: `ETH/USDC`, `ETH/EUR` - HTX: `ETH/USDT`, `ETH/USDC` - BingX: `ETH/USDT`, `ETH/USDC` ## Live backtest (Coinbase ETH-USD, 0.6% a fill, since 2026-10-13T02:32:43Z) | Strategy | Net return | Gross (no fees) | Buy & hold | Round trips | Win rate | Max drawdown | Holding now | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 min | -5.85% | -5.28% | -5.81% | 0 | n/a | 9.7% | coin since 2026-10-13T02:37:36Z | | 15 min | -99.98% | -12.91% | -5.81% | 693 | 0% | 100.0% | USD | | 1 hour | -84.52% | -8.08% | -5.81% | 148 | 4% | 84.6% | USD | | 4 hours | -9.57% | -5.68% | -5.81% | 3 | 33% | 11.9% | coin since 2026-10-22T12:28:36Z | | 1 day | -26.47% | -10.32% | -5.81% | 16 | 6% | 26.8% | coin since 2026-10-28T18:04:36Z | | Overall | -73.78% | -8.89% | -5.81% | 103 | 3% | 73.9% | coin since 2026-10-28T17:43:36Z | | Daily regime | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.81% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD | | 4-hour regime (paper) | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.81% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD | ## In the news The newest CoinArticle headlines that name ETH, read 2026-10-28T20:30:52.745Z: - 2026-10-28 13:16 UTC: [Coinbase Lists Ripple's RLUSD Stablecoin Across Three Networks](https://www.coinarticle.com/article/coinbase-lists-ripple-rlusd-stablecoin-three-networks) - 2026-10-28 12:11 UTC: [Itaú Becomes First Brazilian Bank to Formalize Crypto Trading](https://www.coinarticle.com/article/itau-first-brazilian-bank-formalize-crypto-trading) - 2026-10-28 10:02 UTC: [Moody's Assigns Ripple's RLUSD A2 and P-1 Ratings](https://www.coinarticle.com/article/moodys-ripple-rlusd-a2-p1-ratings) ## Links - Page: https://polysignals.net/eth/ - JSON: https://polysignals.net/api/v1/signals.json (coins.ETH), history https://polysignals.net/api/v1/history/ETH.json - Method: https://polysignals.net/methodology/