# Avalanche (AVAX) on PolySignals.net

As of 2026-10-28T20:31:06Z. Spot $8.94.

The window readings mostly restate how far the coin has moved since the window opened, scaled by the time left: a readout of the crowd's price, not a forecast. The daily regime call is a trend rule, not a proven edge. Not financial advice.

## Overall call

Sell (weak), score -25, confidence 0. The confidence-weighted blend of the 1 hour, 4 hour and 1 day readings.

## Windows running now (all venues blended)

| Window | Call | Score (-100..+100) | Up probability | Confidence | Sources | Time left | Move since open |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 day | Sell (weak) | -25 | 37.4% | 0 low | Deribit options | 48% | -0.58% |

## Each venue on its own (windows running now)

| Window | Venue | Call | Score | Up probability | Volume | Notes |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 day | Deribit options | Sell (weak) | -25 | 37.4% | $614.00 | implied from options prices |

## Daily regime call

**Flat** for 6 days. Close $8.95 on 2026-10-27, 2.29 daily sigmas below the 50-day average ($9.71). It goes long on a close above $10.05. Next decision 2026-10-29T00:05:00Z. The four-hour paper variant (never relayed) is flat as of 2026-10-22T16:00:00Z.

## Following on Cryptohopper

Each change of the daily regime call is sent by the PolySignals.net signaler on Cryptohopper (https://www.cryptohopper.com/signaller?signaller_id=753): a buy signal when it turns long, a sell when it turns flat. A hopper subscribed to the signaler acts on it where its exchange and quote currency match one of these markets.

32 markets on 11 exchanges get AVAX's signals:

- Binance: `AVAXUSDT`, `AVAXUSDC`, `AVAXFDUSD`, `AVAXUSD1`, `AVAXEUR`, `AVAXTRY`, `AVAXBRL`, `AVAXIDR`
- Coinbase Advanced: `AVAX-USD`, `AVAX-USDT`, `AVAX-USDC`, `AVAX-EUR`
- Kraken: `AVAX/USD`, `AVAX/USDT`, `AVAX/USDC`, `AVAX/EUR`
- Bybit: `AVAX/USDT`, `AVAX/USDC`, `AVAX/EUR`
- OKX: `AVAX/USDT`, `AVAX/USDC`, `AVAX/EUR`, `AVAX/TRY`
- KuCoin: `AVAX/USDT`, `AVAX/USDC`
- Crypto.com: `AVAX/USD`, `AVAX/USDT`
- Binance.us: `AVAXUSD`, `AVAXUSDT`
- Bitvavo: `AVAX/EUR`
- HTX: `AVAX/USDT`
- BingX: `AVAX/USDT`

Latest signal: sell on 2026-10-23 00:07 UTC, accepted by 33 markets on 12 exchanges (1 refused).

## Live backtest (Coinbase AVAX-USD, 0.6% a fill, since 2026-10-13T02:32:43Z)

| Strategy | Net return | Gross (no fees) | Buy & hold | Round trips | Win rate | Max drawdown | Holding now |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 min | 0.00% | 0.00% | -13.75% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD |
| 15 min | 0.00% | 0.00% | -13.75% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD |
| 1 hour | 0.00% | 0.00% | -13.75% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD |
| 4 hours | 0.00% | 0.00% | -13.75% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD |
| 1 day | 0.00% | 0.00% | -13.75% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD |
| Overall | 0.00% | 0.00% | -13.75% | 0 | n/a | 0.0% | USD |
| Daily regime | -12.63% | -11.58% | -13.75% | 1 | 0% | 14.6% | USD |
| 4-hour regime (paper) | -12.05% | -10.98% | -13.75% | 1 | 0% | 14.1% | USD |

## Links

- Page: https://polysignals.net/avax/
- JSON: https://polysignals.net/api/v1/signals.json (coins.AVAX), history https://polysignals.net/api/v1/history/AVAX.json
- Method: https://polysignals.net/methodology/